Note added April 30 2025:
Originally posted October 16, 2024 in a very different global geopolitical context, this analysis remains relevant today. Subsequent revelations, especially a set of leaked messages from the Black Basta group – a successor to the Conti group – reaffirm the complexity of relations between Russian ransomware actors and security officials. (The Natto Team discussed the value of leaks here). The Black Basta leaks show that group's members as:
Receiving Protection: Black Basta chief “Tramp” – who chose as his moniker the Russian version of the current US president’s name – boasted of receiving high-level help from Russian authorities after Armenian officials arrested him in June 2024.
But Still Vulnerable: Tramp speculated in July 2024 that someone from their circle had snitched on him, “tempted” by the rewards the US State Department has offered for information on Tramp. He also received tipoffs from criminal acquaintances and from “my law enfo…